Which of Graham Allison's 3 conceptual models of foreign policy best explains the Obama Administration's November 2009 decision to surge an additional 30,000 US troops in Afghanistan?

Which of Graham Allison’s 3 conceptual models of foreign policy best explains the Obama Administration’s November 2009 decision to surge an additional 30,000 US troops in Afghanistan?

1) Explains the Obama Administration’s 2009 decision to surge an additional 30,000 US troops to Afghanistan
2) A brief discussion on each of Allison’s three conceptual models
3) Arguments for the best model that best explains Obama’s decision and the empirical evidence that validates that selected model
4) Counter arguments that explains why the other 2 alternative conceptual models are problematic/wrong
5) Give a argument and a brief discussion on the policy implications of the argument

 
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